Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
HER
4 - 1
AAA
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
AAA
2 - 0
SGF
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
WWO
0 - 0
AAA
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
AAA
3 - 2
HAN
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1981 |
AAA
2 - 1
SCF
66%
18%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
KÖL
3 - 2
FRE
64%
19%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
USO
4 - 2
KÖL
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
KÖL
5 - 2
OSN
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
MUN
4 - 0
KÖL
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
HES
1 - 0
KÖL
53%
21%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |