Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1980 |
VIK
1 - 0
AAA
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1980 |
AAA
1 - 0
KSC
34%
21%
45%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
AAA
2 - 0
VFB
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
TEN
1 - 1
AAA
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
AAA
3 - 1
FCB
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1980 |
ISC
3 - 5
KÖL
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
KÖL
3 - 2
VIK
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
VFB
5 - 0
KÖL
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
KÖL
2 - 2
TEN
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1980 |
FCB
1 - 1
KÖL
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |