Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1980 |
VIK
2 - 2
AAA
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1980 |
AAA
2 - 1
RWL
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1980 |
HAN
3 - 0
AAA
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1980 |
AAA
0 - 1
PRE
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1980 |
ROT
1 - 2
AAA
45%
29%
27%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1980 |
KÖL
1 - 2
ARB
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1980 |
DSC
2 - 1
KÖL
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1980 |
KÖL
1 - 1
USO
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1980 |
AHA
2 - 1
KÖL
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1980 |
KÖL
0 - 4
HOL
83%
11%
5%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |