Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
WHE
0 - 1
AAA
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
AAA
0 - 1
WAT
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
WAB
0 - 1
AAA
40%
29%
32%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
AAA
4 - 0
KFC
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
TEN
2 - 1
AAA
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
KÖL
0 - 2
PRE
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
HAN
3 - 3
KÖL
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
KÖL
2 - 2
RWL
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ROT
1 - 1
KÖL
74%
15%
11%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
KÖL
3 - 0
USO
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |