Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
WUP
3 - 0
AAA
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1977 |
AAA
0 - 1
WAT
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1977 |
ARB
2 - 0
AAA
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1977 |
AAA
1 - 1
WHE
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1977 |
SWE
0 - 0
AAA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
KÖL
3 - 2
KFC
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1977 |
FCB
3 - 1
KÖL
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1977 |
KÖL
3 - 1
ROT
42%
24%
34%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1977 |
AHA
2 - 1
KÖL
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1977 |
KÖL
2 - 0
RWL
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |