Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1977 |
LEV
1 - 0
AAA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1976 |
AAA
3 - 1
WOL
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1976 |
ARB
2 - 0
AAA
68%
20%
11%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
AAA
3 - 0
AHA
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1976 |
SWE
0 - 0
AAA
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1977 |
KÖL
2 - 2
SWE
65%
20%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1976 |
OSN
2 - 0
KÖL
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1976 |
KÖL
5 - 0
BSC
92%
7%
1%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
MSV
4 - 0
KÖL
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
KÖL
7 - 2
ISC
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |