Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
SWE
1 - 1
AAA
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1971 |
AAA
0 - 0
KFC
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1971 |
ARG
2 - 0
AAA
22%
22%
56%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1971 |
AAA
5 - 3
PRE
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 1971 |
GUT
1 - 1
AAA
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
KÖL
4 - 1
ERK
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1971 |
LEV
2 - 1
KÖL
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1971 |
KÖL
1 - 1
EGE
67%
19%
15%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1971 |
WAT
2 - 2
KÖL
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1971 |
KÖL
1 - 0
WHE
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |