Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
AAA
0 - 2
BOC
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
GUT
1 - 2
AAA
16%
21%
63%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
AAA
4 - 0
VIK
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
WHE
2 - 2
AAA
18%
25%
57%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
AAA
1 - 0
LSV
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
KÖL
5 - 1
GUT
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
VIK
3 - 2
KÖL
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
KÖL
6 - 1
WHE
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
LSV
2 - 2
KÖL
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
KÖL
2 - 1
NEU
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |