Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
AAA
3 - 1
WHE
88%
8%
4%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
AAA
2 - 2
ROT
82%
12%
7%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
MSV
2 - 0
AAA
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
AAA
1 - 1
PRE
80%
12%
8%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
WUP
1 - 1
AAA
46%
23%
31%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
F95
7 - 2
WUP
81%
12%
7%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
KOL
4 - 1
F95
69%
17%
14%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
F95
1 - 0
HSV
38%
21%
41%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
DUI
1 - 4
F95
64%
19%
16%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
F95
3 - 1
HAM
88%
8%
4%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |