Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
SHE
2 - 2
AAA
71%
16%
13%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
AAA
0 - 0
PRE
67%
18%
16%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
SKF
4 - 1
AAA
68%
18%
15%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
AAA
1 - 0
HAM
61%
20%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
S04
0 - 0
AAA
51%
22%
27%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
F95
3 - 0
SKF
40%
23%
37%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
HAM
3 - 0
F95
76%
14%
10%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1949 |
F95
1 - 3
S04
73%
15%
12%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
BVB
3 - 1
F95
86%
9%
5%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
F95
0 - 0
ERK
61%
19%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |