Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ROT
1 - 1
AAA
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
AAA
3 - 1
H05
69%
18%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
WAT
0 - 1
AAA
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AAA
1 - 1
LEV
7%
16%
77%
|
48 | 89 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
S04
2 - 0
AAA
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
WIE
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 2
FOR
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 1
DIE
46%
24%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
KÖL
2 - 1
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
S04
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |