Alemannia Aachen vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
AAA
0 - 0
KSC
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
RWA
0 - 0
AAA
34%
24%
43%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
AAA
1 - 0
ROT
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2003 |
EBT
0 - 5
AAA
33%
23%
44%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
OSN
3 - 1
AAA
30%
25%
46%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
FCN
2 - 0
RWA
58%
22%
19%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
ROT
3 - 1
FCN
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
FCN
2 - 0
OSN
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2003 |
FCN
1 - 0
ARB
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
FCN
3 - 0
FCU
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |