Alemannia Aachen vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
ERK
1 - 1
AAA
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1997 |
AAA
3 - 2
RWA
39%
25%
35%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
ELV
2 - 0
AAA
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -3 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
AAA
1 - 0
FCB
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
ERK
2 - 0
AAA
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
LOK
2 - 1
FCN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1997 |
FCN
4 - 1
SCF
23%
24%
52%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 1997 |
GUT
4 - 2
FCN
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1997 |
FCN
2 - 1
QUF
78%
16%
6%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
WAC
2 - 0
FCN
16%
25%
60%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |