Alemannia Aachen vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
HAN
3 - 3
AAA
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
AAA
3 - 0
HER
40%
27%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1984 |
HES
0 - 0
AAA
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
AAA
2 - 0
DAR
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
HOM
3 - 4
AAA
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
FCN
1 - 1
ROT
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
STP
2 - 0
FCN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1984 |
FCN
2 - 1
BWB
74%
17%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
OFC
2 - 3
FCN
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
FCN
1 - 2
SAA
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |