Alemannia Aachen vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SGD
1 - 1
AAA
50%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
AAA
1 - 3
FSV
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FCU
2 - 0
AAA
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
AAA
0 - 0
SGF
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
PAD
0 - 0
AAA
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MSV
3 - 1
ING
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ING
3 - 5
BOC
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
PAD
4 - 1
ING
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
ING
4 - 2
SGD
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FCU
4 - 1
ING
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |