Alemannia Aachen vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AAA
2 - 2
MUN
42%
25%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
KSC
0 - 2
AAA
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
EIN
4 - 3
AAA
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AAA
2 - 2
MSV
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
BOC
1 - 0
AAA
62%
21%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BOC
6 - 0
ERZ
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 2
MSV
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SGD
1 - 2
ERZ
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 2
EIN
20%
25%
55%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 0
ERZ
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |