Alemannia Aachen vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
MSV
3 - 2
AAA
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AAA
2 - 1
MUN
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
OSN
1 - 3
AAA
34%
26%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AAA
1 - 3
BOC
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ING
2 - 1
AAA
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 1
KSC
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
F95
3 - 0
ERZ
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ERZ
0 - 0
SGF
35%
28%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 2
ERZ
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ERZ
0 - 0
FCU
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |