Alemannia Aachen vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
HOF
1 - 2
AAA
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
AAA
3 - 0
OSN
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
SCF
1 - 0
AAA
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
AAA
1 - 1
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
PAD
0 - 1
AAA
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2008 |
ERZ
0 - 0
KAI
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
AUG
1 - 1
ERZ
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
ERZ
3 - 3
M05
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
ERZ
2 - 2
SCF
29%
28%
44%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
HOF
1 - 0
ERZ
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |