Alemannia Aachen vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
AAA
1 - 2
COT
58%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
M05
1 - 3
AAA
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
AAA
2 - 1
BOC
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BYM
2 - 1
AAA
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
AAA
4 - 2
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ERZ
3 - 0
EBT
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
KAI
4 - 0
ERZ
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ERZ
3 - 1
SCF
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
WAC
1 - 1
ERZ
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ERZ
0 - 3
SGF
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |