Alemannia Aachen vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
AAA
2 - 0
WAC
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2005 |
SCF
0 - 2
AAA
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
SPO
2 - 2
AAA
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
AAA
2 - 1
PAD
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
BOC
1 - 4
AAA
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2005 |
SPO
0 - 1
ERZ
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
ERZ
1 - 0
PAD
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
BOC
1 - 0
ERZ
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2005 |
ERZ
0 - 2
EBT
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
MUN
1 - 1
ERZ
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |