Alemannia Aachen vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
AAA
3 - 1
LUB
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2004 |
MSV
2 - 1
AAA
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2004 |
AAA
0 - 0
SGF
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ERZ
0 - 1
AAA
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
AAA
0 - 2
COT
44%
26%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
BOC
1 - 0
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
MON
1 - 0
HAN
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
EIN
3 - 1
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
MON
2 - 2
SCF
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
STU
1 - 1
MON
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |