Alemannia Aachen vs B. Dortmund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
AAA
3 - 2
WAC
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 1
AAA
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 2
AAA
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AAA
1 - 0
KSC
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
AAA
0 - 3
EIN
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
PRE
2 - 4
BOR
36%
24%
40%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
WAR
0 - 1
BOR
77%
15%
9%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 1
ARB
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
OSN
2 - 0
BOR
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
WUP
3 - 5
BOR
30%
24%
46%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |