Alemannia Aachen vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
67.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AAA
4 - 2
KSC
60%
22%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
FCU
2 - 1
AAA
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
AAA
0 - 3
F95
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
AAA
1 - 1
EIN
35%
24%
41%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2010 |
ARB
1 - 3
AAA
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
BYM
5 - 1
KAI
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
WOL
1 - 1
BYM
20%
21%
59%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
STU
3 - 6
BYM
27%
24%
50%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
STU
3 - 5
BYM
24%
23%
53%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
BYM
3 - 0
STP
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |