Alemannia Aachen vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
AAA
3 - 3
HSV
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
WOL
1 - 2
AAA
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
AAA
2 - 3
EIN
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
HER
2 - 1
AAA
57%
22%
20%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
AAA
2 - 2
BRE
17%
22%
61%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
M05
0 - 4
BYM
16%
23%
61%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
BYM
2 - 1
COT
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
BYM
1 - 1
INT
36%
25%
40%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BYM
1 - 1
MON
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
HSV
1 - 2
BYM
22%
25%
53%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |