Alemannia Aachen vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.5%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
82.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.5%
0-3
13.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
AAA
1 - 1
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
WUP
2 - 1
AAA
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
EXC
5 - 0
AAA
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
AAA
1 - 0
ELV
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
AAA
2 - 0
MAI
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
LEV
1 - 2
VCF
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LEV
1 - 1
VIT
68%
18%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LEV
3 - 4
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
LEV
1 - 2
WAT
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
LEV
2 - 2
EIB
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |