Alemannia Aachen vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
AAA
4 - 2
BYM
18%
23%
59%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
AAA
3 - 3
HSV
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
WOL
1 - 2
AAA
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
AAA
2 - 3
EIN
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
HER
2 - 1
AAA
57%
22%
20%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
BVB
1 - 2
LEV
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2006 |
LEV
2 - 1
BJK
55%
21%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
LEV
2 - 1
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ARB
0 - 0
LEV
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2006 |
DBU
2 - 1
LEV
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |