Alemannia Aachen vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
ARB
1 - 0
AAA
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 1
COT
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
F95
0 - 0
AAA
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
EIN
6 - 4
AAA
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AAA
2 - 0
MUN
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2009 |
FCU
1 - 2
SGF
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
MSV
3 - 1
FCU
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
FCU
2 - 1
RWA
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
TUS
1 - 1
FCU
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FCU
5 - 4
PAD
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |