Alemannia Aachen vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
EIN
3 - 3
AAA
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
AAA
1 - 0
SSV
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
UNT
1 - 1
AAA
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
AAA
1 - 0
MON
33%
26%
40%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
AAA
3 - 1
LUB
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ARB
2 - 1
FCU
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
FCU
1 - 3
EIN
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SSV
3 - 1
FCU
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
FCU
0 - 0
UNT
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
LUB
0 - 2
FCU
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |