Alemannia Aachen vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
56.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
FCU
5 - 1
AAA
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
AAA
2 - 1
SGF
30%
26%
43%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
MSV
5 - 0
AAA
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
AAA
3 - 2
ARB
24%
25%
50%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
EIN
2 - 2
AAA
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
STP
1 - 2
KOL
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
KOL
1 - 2
LEV
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
S04
3 - 1
KOL
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
KOL
0 - 2
BYM
20%
23%
57%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
ROS
3 - 0
KOL
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |