Alemannia Aachen vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
SVS
1 - 2
AAA
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
AAA
1 - 2
F95
61%
19%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1961 |
ROT
1 - 1
AAA
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1961 |
AAA
1 - 1
MSV
71%
17%
13%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1961 |
AAA
5 - 2
MON
58%
20%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
F95
4 - 1
KOL
52%
21%
26%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
KOL
3 - 2
ROT
81%
12%
7%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1961 |
BRE
3 - 2
KOL
52%
21%
27%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1961 |
MSV
0 - 1
KOL
37%
24%
39%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1961 |
KOL
5 - 3
SVS
85%
10%
5%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |