Alemannia Aachen vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
S04
2 - 1
AAA
73%
16%
12%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
AAA
0 - 2
WHE
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
DUI
2 - 0
AAA
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
MON
3 - 2
AAA
63%
19%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
AAA
3 - 0
VIK
69%
16%
14%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
KOL
6 - 0
DUI
84%
10%
6%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
TSV
1 - 1
KOL
45%
22%
33%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
HAM
1 - 0
KOL
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
SVS
1 - 1
KOL
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
KOL
4 - 1
MON
84%
10%
6%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |