Alemannia Aachen vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
36.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1950 |
S04
4 - 0
AAA
78%
13%
9%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
AAA
3 - 2
KOL
40%
22%
38%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
DUI
4 - 0
AAA
51%
22%
28%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -3 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
ERK
0 - 1
AAA
72%
15%
13%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
ARB
0 - 1
AAA
69%
17%
15%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1950 |
KOL
2 - 0
HAM
83%
10%
6%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
AAA
3 - 2
KOL
40%
22%
38%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
KOL
2 - 1
ERK
83%
10%
6%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
ARB
2 - 1
KOL
40%
22%
38%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
S04
1 - 2
KOL
53%
22%
25%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |