Alemania U17 vs Lituania U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemania U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2004 |
GER
3 - 0
DEN
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
GER
0 - 2
UKR
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2004 |
GER
2 - 1
SVK
68%
18%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2003 |
POR
2 - 0
GER
41%
24%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
GER
3 - 0
SVN
73%
16%
11%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lituania U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ALB
2 - 3
LTU
65%
19%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
LTU
1 - 5
ISL
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
RUS
5 - 0
LTU
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
LTU
1 - 4
NED
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
ALB
3 - 1
LTU
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |