Alemania U17 vs Bulgaria U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemania U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
GER
5 - 1
SVK
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
FRA
4 - 1
GER
31%
24%
44%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
GER
1 - 0
RUS
71%
18%
12%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
GER
0 - 0
ESP
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
GER
4 - 0
CZE
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bulgaria U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
NED
0 - 0
BGR
74%
17%
8%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
MKD
0 - 0
BGR
28%
23%
50%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
BGR
2 - 0
SCO
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
ITA
3 - 0
BGR
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
AUT
1 - 1
BGR
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |