Germany U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
DEU
4 - 1
EST
91%
7%
2%
|
80 | 30 | 50 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BGR
2 - 3
DEU
4%
11%
85%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
KOS
0 - 3
DEU
6%
12%
83%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
DEU
2 - 0
UKR
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
ENG
2 - 0
DEU
41%
22%
37%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
POL
2 - 1
ISR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
POL
5 - 0
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
SVK
2 - 2
POL
42%
23%
35%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
POL
6%
13%
81%
|
65 | 31 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
POL
3 - 0
KOS
65%
19%
15%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |