Germany U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
GER
1 - 2
POR
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
GER
1 - 2
SWE
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
GER
2 - 1
SUI
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2004 |
GRC
2 - 1
GER
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
GER
2 - 2
GEO
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
SCO
3 - 2
LTU
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2003 |
LTU
3 - 0
ISL
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2003 |
LTU
2 - 1
SCO
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
GER
1 - 0
LTU
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
ISL
1 - 2
LTU
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |