Alemania U21 vs Lituania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2003 |
ESP
3 - 1
GER
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2002 |
GER
4 - 1
NED
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2002 |
BIH
5 - 1
GER
15%
22%
64%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
LTU
1 - 4
GER
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2002 |
ITA
0 - 2
GER
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
ISL
1 - 2
LTU
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
LTU
1 - 4
GER
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2001 |
GEO
4 - 1
LTU
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
LTU
0 - 3
ITA
10%
21%
70%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
LTU
1 - 0
ROU
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +2 |