Alemania U21 vs Islandia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
SMR
0 - 11
GER
11%
17%
72%
|
78 | 25 | 53 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
NIR
1 - 1
GER
12%
18%
71%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
GER
0 - 0
ISR
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
GER
3 - 0
SVN
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
GER
1 - 2
CZE
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Islandia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
SMR
0 - 6
ISL
24%
23%
54%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
ISL
2 - 1
NIR
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ISL
8 - 0
SMR
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
NIR
2 - 6
ISL
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
ISL
0 - 2
CZE
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |