Alemania U21 vs Irán U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
GER
1 - 3
TUR
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
GER
4 - 0
ENG
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 1
GER
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2009 |
GER
1 - 1
ENG
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
GER
2 - 0
FIN
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Irán U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
UKR
2 - 1
IRN
79%
15%
7%
|
24 | 67 | 43 | 0 |