Germany U21 vs Netherlands U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
IRL
1 - 1
GER
14%
20%
66%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
GER
1 - 0
ITA
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
FRA
0 - 1
GER
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
GER
1 - 1
FRA
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
GER
0 - 0
ISR
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
NED
0 - 3
SWE
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
SUI
1 - 0
NED
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
NED
1 - 1
NOR
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
POR
0 - 2
NED
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2008 |
SWE
0 - 0
NED
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |