Alemania U21 vs España U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
SVK
0 - 1
GER
20%
19%
61%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 2
GER
36%
23%
42%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
GER
3 - 0
DEN
71%
18%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
POL
3 - 3
GER
14%
18%
68%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
GER
2 - 1
BGR
87%
10%
3%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
España U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
ESP
2 - 2
CZE
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
DEN
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 0
ENG
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
ESP
6 - 0
MLT
88%
10%
2%
|
86 | 31 | 55 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ESP
4 - 3
KAZ
87%
11%
3%
|
86 | 41 | 45 | 0 |