Alemania U19 vs Irlanda del Norte U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
GER
5 - 1
BLR
86%
10%
4%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
ENG
4 - 1
GER
43%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
GER
3 - 0
BGR
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
GER
1 - 4
NED
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
SVK
0 - 4
GER
16%
18%
65%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Irlanda del Norte U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
NIR
1 - 2
POL
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
NIR
60%
22%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MKD
1 - 2
NIR
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
NIR
0 - 1
SVK
16%
20%
65%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
NIR
0 - 2
UKR
17%
20%
64%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |