Germany U19 vs Northern Ireland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
GER
10 - 0
AND
86%
11%
4%
|
72 | 27 | 45 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
NED
3 - 0
GER
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
SVK
2 - 1
GER
22%
23%
55%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2010 |
GER
4 - 1
POL
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
GER
1 - 2
TUR
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
SUI
0 - 0
NIR
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
NIR
1 - 3
CZE
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 2
NIR
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
RUS
2 - 2
NIR
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
BIH
0 - 4
NIR
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +2 |