Alemania U18 vs Portugal U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemania U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1996 |
TUR
0 - 2
GER
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
GER
2 - 4
TUR
54%
24%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
BEL
1 - 2
GER
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1996 |
BEL
2 - 1
GER
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1996 |
GER
0 - 0
BEL
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
TUR
2 - 1
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1996 |
BEL
1 - 3
POR
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
POR
4 - 2
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1996 |
NED
2 - 0
POR
38%
26%
35%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
POR
4 - 1
NED
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |