Alemannia Aachen II vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
SWE
1 - 0
AAA
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GEW
0 - 4
AAA
60%
23%
18%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AAA
0 - 1
VFB
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
HUL
0 - 2
AAA
34%
26%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
AAA
3 - 3
MSV
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ROT
4 - 1
VEL
71%
19%
11%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
KÖL
4 - 1
VEL
48%
24%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 1
SPE
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 2
WHE
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
WEG
2 - 2
VEL
12%
20%
68%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | -3 |