Alemannia Aachen II vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
WHE
4 - 1
AAA
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
AAA
2 - 2
BER
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 4
AAA
18%
23%
58%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SPE
1 - 1
AAA
31%
25%
43%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
AAA
3 - 0
WER
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SWE
4 - 0
BER
67%
21%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
WER
0 - 2
SWE
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SWE
0 - 2
SCH
59%
23%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
SWE
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SWE
1 - 2
VFB
67%
21%
12%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |