Alemannia Aachen II vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
MSV
0 - 2
AAA
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
AAA
2 - 0
SPO
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 1
GEW
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
AAA
0 - 0
BER
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
HAM
1 - 1
AAA
33%
25%
43%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SWE
1 - 2
GEW
49%
26%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SWE
3 - 0
WAT
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SWE
0 - 0
SPE
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SPR
2 - 4
SWE
13%
21%
67%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
HAM
0 - 1
SWE
33%
25%
43%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |