Alemannia Aachen II vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
AAA
3 - 0
SCH
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
4 - 3
AAA
41%
26%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
AAA
3 - 1
VEL
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
SWE
1 - 0
AAA
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GEW
0 - 4
AAA
60%
23%
18%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
KÖL
1 - 1
SWE
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BER
0 - 2
KÖL
27%
24%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
KÖL
3 - 0
WER
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
WEG
0 - 3
KÖL
20%
22%
59%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 3
KÖL
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |