Alegría vs Vulcano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
ALA
2 - 3
ALE
60%
22%
17%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
LAK
0 - 0
ALE
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ALE
1 - 0
ZUI
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ZAR
2 - 2
ALE
54%
22%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ALE
0 - 0
AUR
17%
23%
60%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Vulcano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
IZA
3 - 0
VUL
41%
23%
37%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
VUL
0 - 1
BRU
37%
23%
39%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
NAN
6 - 2
VUL
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
VUL
1 - 1
CON
59%
21%
20%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
TAL
5 - 3
VUL
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |