Alegría vs CDF San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
CDS
0 - 3
ALE
60%
21%
20%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ALE
0 - 1
MKE
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
ADC
4 - 2
ALE
26%
22%
53%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
ALE
1 - 1
ARA
45%
24%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
AMU
1 - 3
ALE
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CDF San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
CDF
0 - 5
AUR
10%
14%
76%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CDS
4 - 1
CDF
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
IKE
3 - 0
CDF
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CDF
2 - 1
CDS
33%
23%
44%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MKE
1 - 3
CDF
65%
18%
18%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +2 |